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Envisioning Asia 2060


BY
Professor Tan Sri Dat o' Dzulkifli Abd Razak
Vice-Chancellor
Universiti Sains Malaysia


Experience has shown that countries that grow rich are not necessarily those well-endowed with natural resources but those that invest wisely in building their human capital and allocating a reasonable percentage of their gross domestic product to research and development.

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A group of experts met last week at Tamkang University Graduate Institute of Future Studies in Taipei to discuss "Global Transitions and Asia 2060". The broad focus of the meeting, co-hosted by the US-based Foundation for the Future was on three areas — climate, political economy and identity. The writer gave the keynote address.



The meeting came out with four possible scenarios for the future, ranging from a borderless Asia in a changing world to one that is fragmented over and above the current geopolitical boundaries. The possibility of some of the bigger countries splitting up into North and South, or even East and West portions was not ruled out.



Overall, perhaps the two most contentious ideas in the discussions related to the issue of the "tangibles" against the "intangibles". The former reflected the thinking of the previous century and was dominated by the existing Western-centric matrixes despite the increasingly precarious position of the so-called "Washington consensus". The competing interests of economics and geopolitics are still measured and characterised by rules and procedures dictated by several international agencies marked by their vested, if subtle, pro-West agenda. Hence, virtually nothing new emerges based on the "tangibles". Asia is trailing very much behind, struggling with the catch-up game laid out by the West.


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