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Foresight and Challenges In Communicating Its Result To Decision Makers


BY Claudio Chauke Nehme, Gilda Massari Coelho, Lelio Fellows Filho, Marcio de Miranda Santos
Centre for Strategic Studies and Management (CGEE)
Catholic University of Brasilia
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This article is an excerpt from the original paper entitled “The Challenges of Communicating the Foresight Study Outcomes to Better Advise Decision Makers in Policy and Strategy Matters”. The paper was presented during the Fourth International Seville Conference on Future-Oriented Technology Analysis (FTA) and Grand Societal Challenges in Seville, Spain on the 12-13th May 2011.

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The Center for Strategic Studies and Management - CGEE is a non-profit Brazilian think tank, created in 2001 and qualified as a Social Organization by the Brazilian President, and supervised by Ministry of Science and Technology, in order to promote Science, Technology and Innovation (ST&I) development to advance economic growth, competitiveness and well-being in Brazil. The scope of CGEE's activities covers three integrated themes: foresight studies; strategic evaluation of large programs and projects; and information and knowledge diffusion related to the Brazilian ST&I System. CGEE is considered an interface organization in the ST&I environment. It has the responsibility of articulating Government, Private Sector, Academia, and other relevant ST&I representatives in the sense of gathering collective understanding to develop its activities.



From 2001 to date, CGEE has conducted nearly 400 foresight studies and program/project evaluations, mobilizing more than 2000 experts per year coming from 300 institutions.



This article addresses the challenges of communicating the results of foresight processes to Brazilian decision makers in a way that truly supports their decisions. It stresses the role of intangibles as a central outcome of foresight exercises and the importance to promote out-of-the-box thinking. Lessons learned are presented as well as a case study.


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